Jaret Anderson-Dolan vs Ryan O'Reilly
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Anderson-Dolan wins 38.4% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Anderson-Dolan 45.3% vs O'Reilly 58.1% (-15.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 51.1%
Defensive zone
Anderson-Dolan 54.9%
Neutral zone
Anderson-Dolan 55.8%
Result
Jaret Anderson-Dolan favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Anderson-Dolan
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Anderson-Dolan
O'Reilly
Last 5: Anderson-Dolan 2-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Anderson-Dolan
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Anderson-Dolan
1
0
Anderson-Dolan
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Anderson-Dolan
1
0
Anderson-Dolan
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Anderson-Dolan
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (270)
58.6% (841)
-13.0%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
59.9% (207)
-17.0%
Penalty Kill
24.0% (25)
58.1% (148)
-34.1%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +34.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Anderson-Dolan is 38.4% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Anderson-Dolan shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Anderson-Dolan
O'Reilly
Home
47.3% (182)
59.8% (594)
Away
38.3% (120)
57.8% (602)
By Period
Anderson-Dolan
O'Reilly
P1
43.5%
61.7%
P2
45.5%
56.2%
P3
41.5%
59.5%
Final 5 min
38.8%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Anderson-Dolan
42.0%▬
41.0%
43.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 05:47 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 06:29 | Defensive | Jaret Anderson-Dolan |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 12:04 | Neutral | Jaret Anderson-Dolan |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 05:01 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 1 | 16:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |