Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Hecht wins 41.1% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hecht 43.9% vs O'Reilly 51.6% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hecht 90.0%
Defensive zone
Hecht 82.5%
Neutral zone
Hecht 80.7%
Result
Jochen Hecht favored at 82.9%
82.9%
17.1%
Hecht
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Hecht
O'Reilly
Last 9: Hecht 1-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hecht
1
0
Hecht
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
6
Hecht
O'Reilly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Hecht
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hecht
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (558)
53.4% (770)
-11.6%
Power Play
44.4% (72)
55.6% (54)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (93)
44.4% (196)
+2.9%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Hecht is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Hecht shoots left. O'Reilly is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Home / Away
Hecht
O'Reilly
Home
44.7% (356)
53.5% (533)
Away
41.6% (373)
50.0% (492)
By Period
Hecht
O'Reilly
P1
41.9%
50.8%
P2
45.0%
52.4%
P3
42.0%
51.6%
OT
45.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
39.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hecht
44.0%▲
41.5%
43.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2011 | 3 | 18:39 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 3 | 16:11 | Offensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 3 | 13:11 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 3 | 10:01 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 3 | 09:39 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 3 | 02:43 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 2 | 14:47 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 2 | 03:38 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 1 | 01:20 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |