Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jooris 49.5% vs O'Reilly 57.6% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jooris 70.3%
Defensive zone
Jooris 68.1%
Neutral zone
Jooris 67.8%
Result
Josh Jooris favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
Jooris
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Jooris
O'Reilly
Last 7: Jooris 2-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
5
Jooris
O'Reilly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jooris
2
0
Jooris
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jooris
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (390)
57.9% (1,179)
-7.6%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
63.0% (292)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (56)
53.8% (320)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Jooris is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Jooris shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Jooris
O'Reilly
Home
50.0% (218)
61.3% (884)
Away
48.7% (232)
54.8% (907)
By Period
Jooris
O'Reilly
P1
54.1%
55.5%
P2
42.1%
61.0%
P3
51.9%
56.8%
OT
100.0%
67.7%
Final 5 min
43.8%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
49.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 1 | 14:25 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 3 | 09:16 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 3 | 09:09 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 3 | 09:05 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 2 | 14:21 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |