Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Williams 52.5% vs O'Reilly 57.6% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Williams 89.2%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 62.6%
Neutral zone
Williams 69.1%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Williams
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Williams
O'Reilly
Last 5: Williams 1-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Williams
1
0
Williams
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
4
Williams
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Williams
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (40)
57.9% (1,179)
-12.9%
Power Play
59.2% (76)
63.0% (292)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
53.8% (320)
+46.2%
On penalty kill, Williams has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Williams is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (100).
Williams shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Williams
O'Reilly
Home
53.2% (62)
61.3% (884)
Away
56.4% (55)
54.8% (907)
By Period
Williams
O'Reilly
P1
51.9%
55.5%
P2
56.0%
61.0%
P3
55.0%
56.8%
Final 5 min
68.8%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Williams
34.0%▼
37.0%
54.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2016 | 2 | 12:13 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 3 | 13:37 | Offensive | Justin Williams |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 1 | 19:07 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 1 | 14:40 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 10:12 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |