Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 49.5% vs O'Reilly 52.3% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Brodziak 62.5%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 73.2%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 65.8%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Brodziak
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
13
(19 meetings)
6
13
Brodziak
O'Reilly
Last 10: Brodziak 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
6
Brodziak
O'Reilly
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Brodziak
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
5
Brodziak
O'Reilly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (601)
53.6% (392)
-4.5%
Power Play
60.4% (53)
47.2% (36)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (109)
50.0% (28)
-4.1%
On power play, Brodziak has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Brodziak is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Brodziak shoots right. O'Reilly is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Brodziak
O'Reilly
Home
50.5% (374)
54.4% (237)
Away
48.3% (389)
51.1% (219)
By Period
Brodziak
O'Reilly
P1
49.1%
50.3%
P2
51.8%
51.4%
P3
46.6%
55.7%
OT
62.5%
71.4%
Final 5 min
48.0%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 14:43 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 14:25 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 11:50 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 06:42 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 09:25 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 00:30 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 2 | 16:15 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 08:40 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 06:00 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 15:46 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 08:48 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 04:40 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 04:32 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 2 | 17:42 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 2 | 12:23 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 2 | 10:48 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 1 | 07:12 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 1 | 03:58 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |