Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chipchura 48.2% vs O'Reilly 52.6% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 55.9%
Defensive zone
Chipchura 54.2%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 53.1%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Chipchura
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Chipchura
O'Reilly
Last 8: Chipchura 4-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Chipchura
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
1
0
Chipchura
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chipchura
3
1
Chipchura
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chipchura
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (332)
52.5% (1,177)
-4.6%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
54.6% (130)
-26.0%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (23)
52.8% (108)
-5.0%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Chipchura is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (256).
Chipchura shoots left. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,027).
Home / Away
Chipchura
O'Reilly
Home
46.5% (159)
54.9% (669)
Away
48.5% (204)
51.0% (774)
By Period
Chipchura
O'Reilly
P1
50.4%
52.4%
P2
47.0%
56.1%
P3
45.2%
49.8%
OT
100.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
38.2%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
47.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2012 | 1 | 18:32 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 3 | 02:28 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 1 | 19:48 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 1 | 19:26 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 1 | 17:25 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 1 | 12:31 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 1 | 04:08 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |