Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 50.5% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 27-11 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Kruger 79.5%
Defensive zone
Kruger 95.9%
Neutral zone
Kruger 83.2%
Result
Marcus Kruger favored at 83.5%
83.5%
16.5%
Kruger
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
27
(38 meetings)
11
27
Kruger
O'Reilly
Last 10: Kruger 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
19
Kruger
O'Reilly
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
5
2
Kruger
O'Reilly
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
4
6
Kruger
O'Reilly
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (3,509)
56.2% (15,260)
-3.8%
Power Play
46.5% (99)
58.8% (3,445)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (860)
51.4% (2,811)
-8.5%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kruger is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,762).
Kruger shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Kruger
O'Reilly
Home
52.7% (2,242)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
48.3% (2,231)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Kruger
O'Reilly
P1
49.7%
55.6%
P2
49.7%
57.0%
P3
52.1%
55.1%
OT
53.2%
62.2%
Final 5 min
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2019 | 2 | 02:43 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 3, 2019 | 1 | 03:46 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 13:51 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 09:09 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 16:01 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 05:43 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 01:43 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 3 | 05:04 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 1 | 13:17 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 1 | 12:16 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 1 | 07:58 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 04:24 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 1 | 15:58 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 17:18 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 15:20 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 01:02 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 07:38 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 3 | 10:44 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 2 | 14:28 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |