Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (65% H2H, 20 meetings). Hanzal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 53.7% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 37-26 in 63 meetings
Offensive zone
Hanzal 65.4%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 65.5%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 64.4%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Hanzal
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
37
(63 meetings)
26
37
Hanzal
O'Reilly
Last 10: Hanzal 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
11
11
Hanzal
O'Reilly
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
8
13
Hanzal
O'Reilly
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
7
13
Hanzal
O'Reilly
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (5,547)
56.2% (15,260)
-2.2%
Power Play
56.7% (1,179)
58.8% (3,445)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (644)
51.4% (2,811)
-5.4%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Hanzal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,731).
Hanzal shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Hanzal
O'Reilly
Home
55.1% (3,687)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
52.3% (3,704)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Hanzal
O'Reilly
P1
54.9%
55.6%
P2
53.6%
57.0%
P3
52.4%
55.1%
OT
56.5%
62.2%
Final 5 min
51.7%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
53.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 10:30 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 3 | 13:37 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 3 | 03:47 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 2 | 17:56 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 2 | 14:23 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 2 | 01:33 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 1 | 13:59 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 1 | 04:51 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 1 | 04:27 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 3 | 06:42 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 3 | 02:02 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 3 | 00:08 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 2 | 18:25 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 2 | 17:39 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 2 | 12:20 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 2 | 09:05 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 2 | 07:03 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 2 | 06:48 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |