Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Handzus 49.6% vs O'Reilly 51.4% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Handzus 59.5%
Defensive zone
Handzus 74.3%
Neutral zone
Handzus 62.3%
Result
Michal Handzus favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Handzus
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Handzus
O'Reilly
Last 6: Handzus 1-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
5
Handzus
O'Reilly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Handzus
1
0
Handzus
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Handzus
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (526)
51.5% (194)
-1.1%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
52.3% (107)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (124)
51.4% (70)
-7.0%
On power play, Handzus has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Handzus is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (432).
Handzus shoots left. O'Reilly is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Handzus
O'Reilly
Home
50.4% (361)
50.3% (185)
Away
48.5% (303)
53.2% (186)
By Period
Handzus
O'Reilly
P1
53.1%
51.0%
P2
47.2%
48.9%
P3
48.5%
53.3%
OT
66.7%
68.8%
Final 5 min
50.7%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Handzus
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2014 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 3 | 08:58 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 2 | 13:00 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 1 | 00:53 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 2 | 07:09 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |