Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Koivu wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 53.6% vs O'Reilly 52.3% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 60.5%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 60.8%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 52.2%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Koivu
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
11
(18 meetings)
7
11
Koivu
O'Reilly
Last 10: Koivu 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
4
2
Koivu
O'Reilly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Koivu
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
6
Koivu
O'Reilly
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (739)
53.6% (392)
+0.0%
Power Play
56.2% (137)
47.2% (36)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (95)
50.0% (28)
+3.7%
On power play, Koivu has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (701).
Koivu shoots left. O'Reilly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Koivu
O'Reilly
Home
56.0% (495)
54.4% (237)
Away
51.9% (476)
51.1% (219)
By Period
Koivu
O'Reilly
P1
54.9%
50.3%
P2
53.5%
51.4%
P3
53.6%
55.7%
OT
52.9%
71.4%
Final 5 min
50.8%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 17:31 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 06:01 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 14:23 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 04:55 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 02:55 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 18:07 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 16:36 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 14:25 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 06:12 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 03:14 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 19:43 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 2 | 17:52 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 2 | 17:36 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 2 | 10:34 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 2 | 04:21 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |