Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.8% vs 53.4%). Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Shore wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shore 52.7% vs O'Reilly 53.2% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shore 60.8%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 64.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 50.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Shore
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Shore
O'Reilly
Last 6: Shore 2-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Shore
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Shore
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shore
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (221)
52.7% (900)
+2.5%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
55.6% (225)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (5)
54.5% (209)
-54.5%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Shore is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (151).
Shore shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (527).
Home / Away
Shore
O'Reilly
Home
54.2% (96)
55.1% (693)
Away
53.6% (140)
51.6% (641)
By Period
Shore
O'Reilly
P1
52.7%
51.5%
P2
55.0%
54.7%
P3
53.1%
52.7%
OT
100.0%
69.7%
Final 5 min
42.6%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shore
62.0%▲
55.5%
53.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2015 | 1 | 02:22 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 1 | 02:17 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 3 | 15:46 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 3 | 05:30 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 1 | 13:27 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 1 | 13:38 | Offensive | Nicholas Shore |