Patrick Marleau vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marleau 50.9% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 27-18 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Marleau 78.6%
Defensive zone
Marleau 78.6%
Neutral zone
Marleau 78.6%
Result
Patrick Marleau favored at 78.6%
78.6%
21.4%
Marleau
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
27
(45 meetings)
18
27
Marleau
O'Reilly
Last 10: Marleau 2-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
10
9
Marleau
O'Reilly
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
5
12
Marleau
O'Reilly
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
6
Marleau
O'Reilly
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marleau
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (2,656)
56.2% (15,260)
-5.9%
Power Play
55.7% (332)
58.8% (3,445)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (452)
51.4% (2,811)
-0.7%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Marleau is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,061).
Marleau shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Marleau
O'Reilly
Home
53.3% (1,735)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
48.5% (1,715)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Marleau
O'Reilly
P1
52.2%
55.6%
P2
49.5%
57.0%
P3
50.7%
55.1%
OT
55.1%
62.2%
Final 5 min
54.0%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2021 | 2 | 10:04 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 2 | 17:48 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 02:35 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 07:28 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 04:03 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 18, 2021 | OT | 02:23 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 3 | 06:42 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 13:19 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 3 | 05:44 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 3 | 19:45 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 14:24 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 3 | 16:14 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 3 | 09:55 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 2 | 13:26 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 2 | 04:38 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 2 | 01:07 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 1 | 14:50 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |