Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marleau 51.6% vs O'Reilly 59.5% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Marleau 69.3%
Defensive zone
Marleau 67.9%
Neutral zone
Marleau 67.5%
Result
Patrick Marleau favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
Marleau
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Marleau
O'Reilly
Last 10: Marleau 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
2
1
Marleau
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
6
Marleau
O'Reilly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marleau
2
0
Marleau
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marleau
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (251)
60.3% (1,517)
-6.5%
Power Play
47.1% (34)
61.5% (387)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
55.0% (220)
-17.5%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Marleau is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (159).
Marleau shoots left. O'Reilly is 60.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,411).
Home / Away
Marleau
O'Reilly
Home
60.4% (111)
62.5% (1,143)
Away
47.4% (190)
57.1% (981)
By Period
Marleau
O'Reilly
P1
54.7%
56.8%
P2
51.5%
64.6%
P3
49.2%
58.5%
OT
80.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.8%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2018 | 3 | 05:44 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 3 | 19:45 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 14:24 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 3 | 16:14 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 3 | 09:55 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 2 | 13:26 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 2 | 04:38 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 2 | 01:07 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 1 | 14:50 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |