Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sharp 48.4% vs O'Reilly 51.6% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Sharp 86.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 66.5%
Neutral zone
Sharp 62.1%
Result
Patrick Sharp favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Sharp
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Sharp
O'Reilly
Last 10: Sharp 2-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Sharp
O'Reilly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Sharp
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
5
Sharp
O'Reilly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sharp
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (442)
53.4% (770)
-5.0%
Power Play
45.7% (35)
55.6% (54)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (30)
44.4% (196)
-1.1%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Sharp is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Sharp shoots right. O'Reilly is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Sharp
O'Reilly
Home
51.2% (242)
53.5% (533)
Away
45.1% (266)
50.0% (492)
By Period
Sharp
O'Reilly
P1
49.7%
50.8%
P2
46.5%
52.4%
P3
47.9%
51.6%
OT
44.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sharp
60.0%▲
52.5%
48.0%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2011 | 2 | 19:37 | Defensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Jan 12, 2011 | 2 | 12:58 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 12, 2011 | 2 | 00:27 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 12, 2011 | 1 | 07:59 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 12, 2011 | 1 | 07:48 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 2 | 10:15 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 2 | 01:26 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 2 | 01:14 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 1 | 12:58 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 1 | 02:03 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 13, 2010 | 3 | 09:46 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 13, 2010 | 2 | 06:37 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Dec 13, 2010 | 1 | 10:11 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Dec 13, 2010 | 1 | 00:48 | Neutral | Patrick Sharp |