Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Berglund 50.0% vs O'Reilly 57.6% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 74.3%
Defensive zone
Berglund 73.9%
Neutral zone
Berglund 71.8%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
Berglund
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
8
(8 meetings)
0
8
Berglund
O'Reilly
Last 8: Berglund 0-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
6
Berglund
O'Reilly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Berglund
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Berglund
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Berglund
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (982)
57.9% (1,179)
-7.4%
Power Play
55.7% (79)
63.0% (292)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (108)
53.8% (320)
-13.1%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Berglund is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Berglund shoots left. O'Reilly is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,095).
Home / Away
Berglund
O'Reilly
Home
50.7% (548)
61.3% (884)
Away
49.3% (621)
54.8% (907)
By Period
Berglund
O'Reilly
P1
49.6%
55.5%
P2
50.5%
61.0%
P3
49.6%
56.8%
OT
60.0%
67.7%
Final 5 min
46.5%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
50.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 17:24 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 14:26 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 12:22 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 05:59 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 05:51 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 04:06 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 1 | 11:12 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 1 | 07:08 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |