Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). O'Reilly wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — White shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 56.0% vs White 51.0% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 89.0%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 67.1%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 76.7%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 85.5%
85.5%
14.5%
O'Reilly
White
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
O'Reilly
White
Last 7: O'Reilly 5-2 White
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
4
1
O'Reilly
White
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
O'Reilly
White
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
White
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (15,260)
50.6% (1,030)
+5.6%
Power Play
58.8% (3,445)
66.7% (30)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (2,811)
50.7% (148)
+0.7%
On power play, White has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
White shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,689).
O'Reilly shoots left. White is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
White
Home
57.6% (10,762)
53.5% (593)
Away
54.4% (10,787)
48.7% (618)
By Period
O'Reilly
White
P1
55.6%
52.4%
P2
57.0%
50.7%
P3
55.1%
49.9%
Final 5 min
55.3%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
White
48.0%▲
46.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2016 | 3 | 16:50 | Neutral | Ryan White |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Ryan White |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 3 | 10:52 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 2 | 04:12 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 1 | 05:51 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 2 | 01:59 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 2 | 00:19 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |