Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 56.2% vs White 51.9% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 72.1%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 76.8%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 65.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 70.2%
70.2%
29.8%
O'Reilly
White
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
O'Reilly
White
Last 7: O'Reilly 5-2 White
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
4
1
O'Reilly
White
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
O'Reilly
White
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
White
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (1,203)
52.4% (288)
+4.5%
Power Play
60.2% (329)
68.4% (19)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (280)
45.5% (44)
+4.9%
On power play, White has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
White shoots right. O'Reilly is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (701).
O'Reilly shoots left. White is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (267).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
White
Home
58.6% (879)
53.3% (165)
Away
54.6% (933)
51.6% (186)
By Period
O'Reilly
White
P1
55.6%
58.1%
P2
57.9%
49.1%
P3
55.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.5%
White
48.0%▲
46.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2016 | 3 | 16:50 | Neutral | Ryan White |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Ryan White |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 3 | 10:52 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 2 | 04:12 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 1 | 05:51 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 2 | 01:59 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 2 | 00:19 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |