Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gomez on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). O'Reilly wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gomez shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 56.0% vs Gomez 48.2% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Gomez leads 17-8 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Gomez 86.8%
Defensive zone
Gomez 89.2%
Neutral zone
Gomez 90.6%
Result
Scott Gomez favored at 89.3%
10.7%
89.3%
O'Reilly
Gomez
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
17
(25 meetings)
8
17
O'Reilly
Gomez
Last 10: O'Reilly 3-7 Gomez
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gomez
1
4
O'Reilly
Gomez
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gomez
3
6
O'Reilly
Gomez
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gomez
4
7
O'Reilly
Gomez
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Gomez
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (15,260)
47.9% (2,814)
+8.3%
Power Play
58.8% (3,445)
50.6% (516)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (2,811)
36.5% (74)
+14.9%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gomez shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
O'Reilly shoots left. Gomez is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,196).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Gomez
Home
57.6% (10,762)
49.8% (1,767)
Away
54.4% (10,787)
46.3% (1,667)
By Period
O'Reilly
Gomez
P1
55.6%
48.6%
P2
57.0%
48.2%
P3
55.1%
47.5%
OT
62.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Gomez
52.0%▲
46.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2016 | 2 | 04:47 | Defensive | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 2 | 02:48 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 18:04 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 15:07 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 10:50 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 2 | 13:25 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 1 | 18:24 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 1 | 06:26 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Jan 24, 2014 | 3 | 15:20 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 24, 2014 | 3 | 06:47 | Defensive | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 19:20 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 17:22 | Defensive | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 02:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 14:17 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 01:15 | Defensive | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 01:11 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 15, 2011 | OT | 01:45 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 3 | 15:57 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |