Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gomez on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 53.2% vs Gomez 47.0% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gomez 76.2%
Defensive zone
Gomez 62.7%
Neutral zone
Gomez 71.0%
Result
Scott Gomez favored at 71.7%
28.3%
71.7%
O'Reilly
Gomez
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
O'Reilly
Gomez
Last 7: O'Reilly 2-5 Gomez
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gomez
0
1
O'Reilly
Gomez
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gomez
2
4
O'Reilly
Gomez
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Gomez
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (900)
46.4% (676)
+6.3%
Power Play
55.6% (225)
48.6% (105)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (209)
28.6% (7)
+25.9%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gomez shoots left. O'Reilly is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (807).
O'Reilly shoots left. Gomez is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Gomez
Home
55.1% (693)
46.5% (417)
Away
51.6% (641)
46.6% (371)
By Period
O'Reilly
Gomez
P1
51.5%
46.7%
P2
54.7%
45.1%
P3
52.7%
48.1%
OT
69.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.4%
Gomez
52.0%▲
46.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 18:04 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 15:07 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 10:50 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 2 | 13:25 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 1 | 18:24 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 1 | 06:26 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |