Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). O'Reilly wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 52.6% vs Plekanec 49.2% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 82.1%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 53.9%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 69.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
O'Reilly
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
0
(9 meetings)
9
0
O'Reilly
Plekanec
Last 9: O'Reilly 9-0 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
0
O'Reilly
Plekanec
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
5
0
O'Reilly
Plekanec
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
0
O'Reilly
Plekanec
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (1,177)
49.8% (1,095)
+2.7%
Power Play
54.6% (130)
49.4% (174)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (108)
47.3% (364)
+5.5%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,027).
O'Reilly shoots left. Plekanec is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,041).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Plekanec
Home
54.9% (669)
49.4% (789)
Away
51.0% (774)
48.8% (889)
By Period
O'Reilly
Plekanec
P1
52.4%
51.9%
P2
56.1%
48.8%
P3
49.8%
47.8%
OT
57.7%
39.6%
Final 5 min
53.3%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
52.8%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2011 | 3 | 18:37 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 3 | 15:28 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 3 | 07:07 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 00:57 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 1 | 14:20 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 1 | 03:21 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 1 | 03:17 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 1 | 00:01 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |