Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings). O'Reilly wins 60.0% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 57.6% vs Plekanec 51.1% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 20-7 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 94.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 76.2%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 84.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 86.5%
86.5%
13.5%
O'Reilly
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
7
(27 meetings)
20
7
O'Reilly
Plekanec
Last 10: O'Reilly 6-4 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
11
1
O'Reilly
Plekanec
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
3
5
O'Reilly
Plekanec
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
6
1
O'Reilly
Plekanec
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (1,179)
53.8% (1,081)
+4.1%
Power Play
63.0% (292)
48.6% (70)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (320)
37.8% (201)
+16.0%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. O'Reilly is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,095).
O'Reilly shoots left. Plekanec is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Plekanec
Home
61.3% (884)
52.3% (725)
Away
54.8% (907)
49.9% (627)
By Period
O'Reilly
Plekanec
P1
55.5%
54.6%
P2
61.0%
51.3%
P3
56.8%
47.9%
OT
67.7%
53.8%
Final 5 min
55.6%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.0%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2017 | 3 | 06:30 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Apr 5, 2017 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Apr 5, 2017 | 3 | 02:40 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 19:48 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 13:23 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 05:35 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 05:29 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 13:12 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 06:33 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 13:26 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 11:50 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 15:29 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 15:24 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 11:26 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 07:26 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 05:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 19:48 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 14:57 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |