Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). O'Reilly wins 60.0% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 57.6% vs Fiddler 53.2% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 51.2%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 81.1%
Neutral zone
Fiddler 69.7%
Result
Vernon Fiddler favored at 74.7%
25.3%
74.7%
O'Reilly
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
O'Reilly
Fiddler
Last 5: O'Reilly 1-4 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Fiddler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
4
O'Reilly
Fiddler
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (1,179)
54.7% (561)
+3.2%
Power Play
63.0% (292)
62.5% (8)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (320)
48.3% (120)
+5.5%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. O'Reilly is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,095).
O'Reilly shoots left. Fiddler is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Fiddler
Home
61.3% (884)
53.9% (308)
Away
54.8% (907)
53.5% (381)
By Period
O'Reilly
Fiddler
P1
55.5%
53.1%
P2
61.0%
53.2%
P3
56.8%
54.8%
Final 5 min
55.6%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.0%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 19:57 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 10:54 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 2 | 17:57 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 2 | 12:12 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 2 | 09:39 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |