Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.0% vs 55.9%). Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). O'Reilly wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Peters shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 56.0% vs Peters 55.0% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 86.5%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 63.0%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 69.8%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
O'Reilly
Peters
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
O'Reilly
Peters
Last 9: O'Reilly 7-2 Peters
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
0
O'Reilly
Peters
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
2
O'Reilly
Peters
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
0
O'Reilly
Peters
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Peters
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (15,260)
57.3% (471)
-1.1%
Power Play
58.8% (3,445)
33.3% (3)
+25.5%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (2,811)
46.0% (63)
+5.4%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peters shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
O'Reilly shoots left. Peters is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Peters
Home
57.6% (10,762)
58.8% (226)
Away
54.4% (10,787)
53.8% (318)
By Period
O'Reilly
Peters
P1
55.6%
55.1%
P2
57.0%
57.5%
P3
55.1%
55.2%
OT
62.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Peters
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2012 | 2 | 15:27 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 3 | 18:14 | Defensive | Warren Peters |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 3 | 16:17 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 2 | 10:33 | Defensive | Warren Peters |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 04:32 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 2 | 15:47 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 3 | 13:30 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 14:31 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 1 | 04:49 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |