Scouting Report
Warren Peters holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Peters shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 52.6% vs Peters 54.0% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 62.1%
Defensive zone
Peters 65.6%
Neutral zone
Peters 51.2%
Result
Warren Peters favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
O'Reilly
Peters
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
O'Reilly
Peters
Last 6: O'Reilly 4-2 Peters
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Peters
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
O'Reilly
Peters
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Peters
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Peters
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (1,177)
56.6% (396)
-4.1%
Power Play
54.6% (130)
0.0% (2)
+54.6%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (108)
45.0% (60)
+7.8%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +54.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peters shoots left. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,027).
O'Reilly shoots left. Peters is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Peters
Home
54.9% (669)
58.9% (202)
Away
51.0% (774)
51.7% (263)
By Period
O'Reilly
Peters
P1
52.4%
56.0%
P2
56.1%
54.9%
P3
49.8%
53.9%
OT
57.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
52.8%
Peters
50.0%▼
56.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2012 | 2 | 15:27 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 3 | 18:14 | Defensive | Warren Peters |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 3 | 16:17 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 2 | 10:33 | Defensive | Warren Peters |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 04:32 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 2 | 15:47 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |