Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). O'Reilly wins 58.3% vs right-shot opponents — Hyman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 56.5% vs Hyman 48.4% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 91.7%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 62.4%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 88.2%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
O'Reilly
Hyman
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
O'Reilly
Hyman
Last 5: O'Reilly 4-1 Hyman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Hyman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
1
O'Reilly
Hyman
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Hyman
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (1,367)
47.1% (87)
+10.0%
Power Play
59.4% (286)
37.5% (8)
+21.9%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (257)
48.6% (142)
+3.9%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hyman shoots right. O'Reilly is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (709).
O'Reilly shoots left. Hyman is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Hyman
Home
59.2% (936)
53.2% (111)
Away
54.6% (974)
42.9% (126)
By Period
O'Reilly
Hyman
P1
57.3%
48.4%
P2
57.5%
41.8%
P3
55.0%
53.0%
OT
71.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.9%
Hyman
44.0%▲
42.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2019 | 3 | 16:35 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 3 | 10:15 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 2 | 10:24 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 2 | 02:27 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 16:27 | Defensive | Zach Hyman |