Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 61.4% vs right-shot opponents — Hyman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 56.2% vs Hyman 46.2% (+12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 88.5%
Defensive zone
Hyman 52.2%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 58.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
O'Reilly
Hyman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
O'Reilly
Hyman
Last 5: O'Reilly 3-2 Hyman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
0
O'Reilly
Hyman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hyman
0
2
O'Reilly
Hyman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Hyman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Hyman
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (1,073)
39.5% (38)
+17.8%
Power Play
58.5% (258)
33.3% (3)
+25.2%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (225)
45.4% (119)
+5.3%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hyman shoots right. O'Reilly is 61.4% vs right-shot opponents (594).
O'Reilly shoots left. Hyman is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (118).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Hyman
Home
59.2% (765)
43.1% (72)
Away
54.0% (791)
44.3% (88)
By Period
O'Reilly
Hyman
P1
55.6%
44.7%
P2
61.0%
42.9%
P3
52.3%
45.0%
OT
61.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
58.6%
27.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Hyman
44.0%▲
42.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 10:15 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 05:51 | Defensive | Zach Hyman |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 16:51 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 16:43 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 07:56 | Defensive | Zach Hyman |