Scouting Report
Zenon Konopka holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Konopka on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). O'Reilly wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Konopka shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 56.0% vs Konopka 58.6% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Konopka leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 80.7%
Defensive zone
Konopka 81.5%
Neutral zone
Konopka 51.9%
Result
Zenon Konopka favored at 63.7%
36.3%
63.7%
O'Reilly
Konopka
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
O'Reilly
Konopka
Last 10: O'Reilly 4-6 Konopka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
0
O'Reilly
Konopka
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Konopka
1
6
O'Reilly
Konopka
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
1
O'Reilly
Konopka
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Konopka
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (15,103)
60.6% (1,691)
-4.4%
Power Play
58.7% (3,395)
61.3% (80)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (2,769)
53.3% (523)
-1.7%
On even strength, Konopka has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Konopka shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,728).
O'Reilly shoots left. Konopka is 59.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,480).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Konopka
Home
57.6% (10,669)
60.9% (1,059)
Away
54.4% (10,631)
57.4% (1,244)
By Period
O'Reilly
Konopka
P1
55.5%
58.7%
P2
57.0%
59.1%
P3
55.2%
59.7%
OT
62.7%
37.5%
Final 5 min
55.4%
62.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
56.0%
Konopka
60.0%▲
54.5%
59.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2014 | 2 | 15:29 | Defensive | Zenon Konopka |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 2 | 06:45 | Defensive | Zenon Konopka |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 1 | 08:02 | Defensive | Zenon Konopka |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 17:01 | Defensive | Zenon Konopka |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 12:19 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 09:44 | Defensive | Zenon Konopka |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 06:43 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 1 | 13:21 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 3 | 01:30 | Neutral | Zenon Konopka |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 14:20 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 12:29 | Defensive | Zenon Konopka |