Scouting Report
Zenon Konopka holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Konopka shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 52.3% vs Konopka 57.8% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Konopka 53.3%
Defensive zone
Konopka 89.5%
Neutral zone
Konopka 75.0%
Result
Zenon Konopka favored at 76.4%
23.6%
76.4%
O'Reilly
Konopka
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
O'Reilly
Konopka
Last 5: O'Reilly 4-1 Konopka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Konopka
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
O'Reilly
Konopka
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
0
O'Reilly
Konopka
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Konopka
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (392)
60.9% (243)
-7.3%
Power Play
47.2% (36)
100.0% (1)
-52.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (28)
56.5% (23)
-6.5%
On power play, Konopka has a +52.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Konopka shoots left. O'Reilly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (314).
O'Reilly shoots left. Konopka is 61.4% vs left-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Konopka
Home
54.4% (237)
60.3% (121)
Away
51.1% (219)
61.0% (146)
By Period
O'Reilly
Konopka
P1
50.3%
54.3%
P2
51.4%
65.0%
P3
55.7%
62.5%
Final 5 min
46.9%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
52.9%
Konopka
60.0%▲
54.5%
60.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 12:19 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 09:44 | Defensive | Zenon Konopka |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 06:43 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 1 | 13:21 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |