Aleksander Barkov vs Ryan Poehling
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Barkov wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Poehling 50.8% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 75.8%
Defensive zone
Poehling 87.9%
Neutral zone
Poehling 63.7%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Barkov
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Barkov
Poehling
Last 6: Barkov 2-4 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
0
Barkov
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
4
Barkov
Poehling
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
52.6% (622)
+2.9%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
58.3% (12)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
39.8% (103)
+6.9%
On penalty kill, Barkov has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Barkov is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Barkov shoots left. Poehling is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Barkov
Poehling
Home
56.4% (550)
53.2% (393)
Away
56.7% (476)
48.3% (344)
By Period
Barkov
Poehling
P1
56.5%
50.9%
P2
55.5%
56.2%
P3
57.9%
46.1%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
58.7%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2025 | 3 | 17:10 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 3 | 02:01 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 02:30 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |