Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Laferriere wins 39.3% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laferriere 43.2% vs Poehling 47.4% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Laferriere 89.7%
Defensive zone
Laferriere 68.6%
Neutral zone
Laferriere 79.7%
Result
Alex Laferriere favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Laferriere
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Laferriere
Poehling
Last 6: Laferriere 0-6 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
4
Laferriere
Poehling
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Laferriere
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laferriere
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (322)
49.8% (626)
-7.9%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
58.3% (12)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (70)
38.2% (207)
-1.1%
On even strength, Poehling has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Laferriere is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Laferriere shoots right. Poehling is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Laferriere
Poehling
Home
40.3% (201)
47.3% (404)
Away
42.8% (208)
46.9% (441)
By Period
Laferriere
Poehling
P1
33.1%
53.5%
P2
40.0%
39.4%
P3
48.2%
49.1%
OT
100.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
41.2%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laferriere
44.0%▲
40.0%
41.6%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 14:12 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 19:19 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 08:05 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 15:35 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 07:36 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |