Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Richardson wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 55.8% vs Poehling 47.0% (+11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 72.6%
Defensive zone
Poehling 77.7%
Neutral zone
Poehling 73.9%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 74.4%
25.6%
74.4%
Richardson
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Richardson
Poehling
Last 5: Richardson 1-4 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Richardson
Poehling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
1
0
Richardson
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
3
Richardson
Poehling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (221)
45.1% (437)
+14.6%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
56.4% (39)
+43.6%
Penalty Kill
31.3% (16)
61.5% (13)
-30.2%
On power play, Richardson has a +43.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Richardson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (151).
Richardson shoots left. Poehling is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Richardson
Poehling
Home
60.2% (88)
46.6% (232)
Away
57.0% (151)
46.3% (257)
By Period
Richardson
Poehling
P1
63.8%
43.9%
P2
59.1%
49.1%
P3
50.7%
46.4%
Final 5 min
65.3%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
58.2%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 11:06 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 03:52 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 03:44 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 02:02 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |