Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.6% vs Poehling 47.4% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 93.6%
Defensive zone
Drury 81.2%
Neutral zone
Drury 87.7%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 88.5%
88.5%
11.5%
Drury
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Drury
Poehling
Last 6: Drury 5-1 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
3
0
Drury
Poehling
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Drury
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (659)
49.8% (615)
+11.0%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
58.3% (12)
-18.3%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (155)
38.1% (202)
+11.6%
On power play, Poehling has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Drury is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Drury shoots left. Poehling is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Drury
Poehling
Home
59.2% (407)
47.2% (388)
Away
57.8% (417)
46.9% (441)
By Period
Drury
Poehling
P1
59.1%
53.4%
P2
57.6%
39.5%
P3
58.8%
48.9%
OT
60.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
50.7%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
62.0%▲
55.5%
58.5%
Poehling
56.0%▲
47.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 10:22 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 09:15 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 00:25 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:55 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:13 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 01:06 | Offensive | Jack Drury |