Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.3% vs 48.0%). Komarov wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Komarov 47.6% vs Poehling 48.1% (-0.7%)
Offensive zone
Komarov 54.2%
Defensive zone
Poehling 56.8%
Neutral zone
Poehling 50.1%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Komarov
Poehling
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Komarov
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (695)
49.1% (2,540)
-0.5%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
50.6% (87)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (417)
42.3% (548)
+3.3%
On power play, Poehling has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Komarov is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Komarov shoots left. Poehling is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,135).
Home / Away
Komarov
Poehling
Home
49.2% (537)
49.7% (1,506)
Away
45.7% (591)
46.5% (1,669)
By Period
Komarov
Poehling
P1
47.6%
50.7%
P2
47.3%
47.8%
P3
47.5%
46.0%
OT
41.2%
40.9%
Final 5 min
49.6%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
47.3%
Poehling
58.0%▲
46.5%
48.0%