Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.5% vs 47.1%). Barron wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barron 47.1% vs Poehling 47.4% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 64.0%
Defensive zone
Barron 56.4%
Neutral zone
Poehling 69.1%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 69.1%
30.9%
69.1%
Barron
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Barron
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barron
2
0
Barron
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barron
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (371)
49.8% (626)
-1.0%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
58.3% (12)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (174)
38.2% (207)
+3.8%
On power play, Poehling has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Barron is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Barron shoots left. Poehling is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Barron
Poehling
Home
44.9% (283)
47.3% (404)
Away
48.3% (265)
46.9% (441)
By Period
Barron
Poehling
P1
44.8%
53.5%
P2
50.7%
39.4%
P3
43.6%
49.1%
OT
33.3%
35.7%
Final 5 min
44.8%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barron
48.0%▲
41.0%
46.5%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 07:30 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |