Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hintz wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 53.5% vs Poehling 50.8% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 62.3%
Defensive zone
Poehling 79.7%
Neutral zone
Poehling 64.4%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Hintz
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Hintz
Poehling
Last 6: Hintz 2-4 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hintz
Poehling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
2
Hintz
Poehling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Hintz
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (711)
52.6% (622)
+1.0%
Power Play
53.8% (93)
58.3% (12)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
58.7% (46)
39.8% (103)
+18.9%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Hintz is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (518).
Hintz shoots left. Poehling is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Hintz
Poehling
Home
52.6% (460)
53.2% (393)
Away
55.4% (390)
48.3% (344)
By Period
Hintz
Poehling
P1
59.0%
50.9%
P2
52.7%
56.2%
P3
51.1%
46.1%
OT
20.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
59.2%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 16:25 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 02:31 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 14:51 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 01:01 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |