Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Poehling wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 47.4% vs Couturier 53.2% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 72.7%
Defensive zone
Poehling 74.5%
Neutral zone
Poehling 78.2%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
Poehling
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Poehling
Couturier
Last 6: Poehling 0-6 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
3
Poehling
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Poehling
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Poehling
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (615)
53.4% (758)
-3.6%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
62.9% (70)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
38.1% (202)
50.7% (227)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Poehling is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Poehling shoots left. Couturier is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (680).
Home / Away
Poehling
Couturier
Home
47.2% (388)
50.7% (517)
Away
46.9% (441)
56.1% (538)
By Period
Poehling
Couturier
P1
53.4%
55.2%
P2
39.5%
53.0%
P3
48.9%
53.3%
OT
35.7%
42.4%
Final 5 min
51.5%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
56.0%▲
47.5%
47.0%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 19:22 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 05:54 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 12:49 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 09:30 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 07:04 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |