Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Smyth on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stoll wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Smyth shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 55.3% vs Smyth 45.4% (+12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smyth 76.1%
Defensive zone
Smyth 77.5%
Neutral zone
Smyth 81.0%
Result
Ryan Smyth favored at 76.7%
23.3%
76.7%
Stoll
Smyth
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Stoll
Smyth
Last 5: Stoll 1-4 Smyth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smyth
0
3
Stoll
Smyth
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stoll
Smyth
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Smyth
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (539)
43.2% (155)
+15.2%
Power Play
55.6% (63)
50.0% (28)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (144)
31.6% (19)
+15.6%
On penalty kill, Stoll has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smyth shoots left. Stoll is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (539).
Stoll shoots right. Smyth is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Home / Away
Stoll
Smyth
Home
57.3% (358)
42.2% (102)
Away
54.9% (388)
44.0% (100)
By Period
Stoll
Smyth
P1
47.8%
50.8%
P2
59.5%
41.3%
P3
58.1%
39.0%
OT
85.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.8%
41.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
56.0%
Smyth
50.0%▬
50.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2013 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 17:10 | Offensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 06:33 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 03:54 | Defensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 16:19 | Offensive | Ryan Smyth |