Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.9% vs Smyth 45.8% (+1.6%)
Offensive zone
Smyth 50.9%
Defensive zone
Rossi 52.0%
Neutral zone
Rossi 51.4%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Rossi
Smyth
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Smyth
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (2,140)
45.2% (456)
+1.8%
Power Play
47.3% (188)
51.8% (164)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
23.3% (43)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Rossi has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smyth shoots left. Rossi is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,529).
Rossi shoots left. Smyth is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (434).
Home / Away
Rossi
Smyth
Home
47.8% (1,207)
49.7% (340)
Away
45.7% (1,165)
40.5% (326)
By Period
Rossi
Smyth
P1
47.3%
48.3%
P2
44.8%
41.7%
P3
48.3%
46.5%
OT
45.8%
25.0%
Final 5 min
44.2%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Smyth
50.0%▬
50.5%
45.2%