Scouting Report
Marcus Kruger holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kruger on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kruger wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Smyth shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 46.9% vs Smyth 45.4% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smyth 53.4%
Defensive zone
Kruger 78.2%
Neutral zone
Kruger 62.9%
Result
Marcus Kruger favored at 72.1%
72.1%
27.9%
Kruger
Smyth
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Kruger
Smyth
Last 5: Kruger 5-0 Smyth
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
3
0
Kruger
Smyth
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kruger
2
0
Kruger
Smyth
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Smyth
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (334)
43.2% (155)
+6.8%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
50.0% (28)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (149)
31.6% (19)
+6.7%
On power play, Smyth has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smyth shoots left. Kruger is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Kruger shoots left. Smyth is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Kruger
Smyth
Home
51.8% (255)
42.2% (102)
Away
40.3% (238)
44.0% (100)
By Period
Kruger
Smyth
P1
50.3%
50.8%
P2
43.0%
41.3%
P3
44.7%
39.0%
OT
54.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
41.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.2%
Smyth
50.0%▬
50.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 05:50 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 05:36 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 19:14 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |