Scouting Report
Scott Gomez holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gomez on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Smyth wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gomez shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smyth 45.8% vs Gomez 48.2% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smyth 58.5%
Defensive zone
Smyth 60.5%
Neutral zone
Smyth 61.4%
Result
Ryan Smyth favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Smyth
Gomez
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Smyth
Gomez
Last 7: Smyth 2-5 Gomez
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gomez
0
1
Smyth
Gomez
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gomez
0
1
Smyth
Gomez
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gomez
2
3
Smyth
Gomez
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smyth
Gomez
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (456)
47.9% (2,814)
-2.7%
Power Play
51.8% (164)
50.6% (516)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
23.3% (43)
36.5% (74)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Gomez has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gomez shoots left. Smyth is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (434).
Smyth shoots left. Gomez is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,196).
Home / Away
Smyth
Gomez
Home
49.7% (340)
49.8% (1,767)
Away
40.5% (326)
46.3% (1,667)
By Period
Smyth
Gomez
P1
48.3%
48.6%
P2
41.7%
48.2%
P3
46.5%
47.5%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smyth
50.0%▬
50.5%
45.2%
Gomez
52.0%▲
46.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2013 | 3 | 08:57 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 3 | 06:50 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 2 | 06:49 | Neutral | Ryan Smyth |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 1 | 14:19 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 1 | 10:47 | Neutral | Ryan Smyth |