Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.2% vs 44.8%). Smyth wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Teravainen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smyth 45.8% vs Teravainen 45.1% (+0.4%)
Offensive zone
Teravainen 55.0%
Defensive zone
Smyth 55.7%
Neutral zone
Smyth 50.1%
Result
Ryan Smyth favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Smyth
Teravainen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smyth
Teravainen
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (456)
45.5% (1,211)
-0.3%
Power Play
51.8% (164)
41.8% (170)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
23.3% (43)
40.5% (84)
-17.2%
On penalty kill, Teravainen has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Teravainen shoots left. Smyth is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (434).
Smyth shoots left. Teravainen is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (898).
Home / Away
Smyth
Teravainen
Home
49.7% (340)
47.2% (741)
Away
40.5% (326)
42.3% (724)
By Period
Smyth
Teravainen
P1
48.3%
47.7%
P2
41.7%
42.5%
P3
46.5%
45.1%
OT
25.0%
29.2%
Final 5 min
47.1%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smyth
50.0%▬
50.5%
45.2%
Teravainen
34.0%▼
39.0%
44.8%