Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Spooner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 45.0% vs Spooner 43.6% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 50.5%
Defensive zone
Henrique 66.7%
Neutral zone
Henrique 55.9%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Henrique
Spooner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Henrique
Spooner
Last 6: Henrique 4-2 Spooner
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
1
Henrique
Spooner
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Spooner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Spooner
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (1,023)
42.9% (683)
+1.6%
Power Play
47.4% (173)
44.4% (18)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (185)
30.0% (10)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spooner shoots left. Henrique is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Henrique shoots left. Spooner is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Henrique
Spooner
Home
46.9% (680)
42.4% (349)
Away
42.5% (701)
43.1% (362)
By Period
Henrique
Spooner
P1
43.0%
44.7%
P2
46.2%
45.8%
P3
46.2%
37.4%
OT
25.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.5%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.7%
Spooner
50.0%▲
44.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2016 | 3 | 09:13 | Defensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 3 | 05:41 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 2 | 11:57 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 2 | 01:11 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 1 | 07:49 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 1 | 07:36 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |