Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.0% vs Spooner 43.6% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 61.4%
Defensive zone
Stepan 80.4%
Neutral zone
Stepan 62.0%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Stepan
Spooner
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Stepan
Spooner
Last 10: Stepan 7-3 Spooner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spooner
0
2
Stepan
Spooner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
5
1
Stepan
Spooner
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Spooner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Spooner
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (889)
42.9% (683)
+3.7%
Power Play
46.9% (113)
44.4% (18)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (101)
30.0% (10)
+17.5%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spooner shoots left. Stepan is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (785).
Stepan shoots right. Spooner is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Stepan
Spooner
Home
47.7% (555)
42.4% (349)
Away
45.6% (548)
43.1% (362)
By Period
Stepan
Spooner
P1
46.4%
44.7%
P2
45.7%
45.8%
P3
48.5%
37.4%
OT
35.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.5%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.7%
Spooner
50.0%▲
44.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2016 | 3 | 07:28 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 3 | 16:52 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 3 | 06:50 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 3 | 00:35 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 2 | 16:13 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 2 | 09:04 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 2 | 00:26 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 1 | 08:50 | Defensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 1 | 06:23 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |