Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Spooner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Spooner wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spooner 43.6% vs Ott 55.4% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ott 73.4%
Defensive zone
Ott 96.5%
Neutral zone
Ott 91.0%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 83.1%
16.9%
83.1%
Spooner
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Spooner
Ott
Last 6: Spooner 5-1 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spooner
3
0
Spooner
Ott
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spooner
1
0
Spooner
Ott
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Spooner
Ott
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spooner
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (1,540)
57.2% (2,802)
-14.1%
Power Play
46.3% (67)
55.4% (567)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
49.9% (853)
-7.8%
On even strength, Ott has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Spooner is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Spooner shoots left. Ott is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,552).
Home / Away
Spooner
Ott
Home
43.9% (779)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
42.6% (847)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Spooner
Ott
P1
45.0%
56.7%
P2
46.2%
53.9%
P3
38.2%
55.7%
OT
35.0%
60.8%
Final 5 min
44.7%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spooner
50.0%▲
44.0%
43.2%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 06:47 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 16:20 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 16:53 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 03:14 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 2 | 15:06 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |