Scouting Report
Ryan Spooner holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Schaller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Spooner wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Schaller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spooner 43.6% vs Schaller 43.0% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spooner 73.3%
Defensive zone
Schaller 80.8%
Neutral zone
Schaller 55.9%
Result
Tim Schaller favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Spooner
Schaller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Spooner
Schaller
Last 8: Spooner 3-5 Schaller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spooner
1
0
Spooner
Schaller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schaller
0
3
Spooner
Schaller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Spooner
Schaller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spooner
Schaller
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (1,540)
42.2% (419)
+0.9%
Power Play
46.3% (67)
66.7% (12)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
36.9% (111)
+5.2%
On power play, Schaller has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schaller shoots left. Spooner is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Spooner shoots left. Schaller is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (360).
Home / Away
Spooner
Schaller
Home
43.9% (779)
42.5% (240)
Away
42.6% (847)
41.1% (302)
By Period
Spooner
Schaller
P1
45.0%
42.6%
P2
46.2%
42.0%
P3
38.2%
39.9%
OT
35.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spooner
50.0%▲
44.0%
43.2%
Schaller
42.0%▼
45.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2016 | 2 | 01:07 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 3 | 03:57 | Neutral | Tim Schaller |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 3 | 01:23 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 2 | 17:30 | Defensive | Tim Schaller |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 2 | 17:11 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 2 | 04:36 | Defensive | Tim Schaller |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 1 | 14:58 | Defensive | Tim Schaller |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 1 | 09:55 | Neutral | Tim Schaller |