Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Spooner wins 41.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spooner 43.6% vs Bozak 55.8% (-13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spooner 77.0%
Defensive zone
Spooner 73.9%
Neutral zone
Spooner 75.0%
Result
Ryan Spooner favored at 75.5%
75.5%
24.5%
Spooner
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Spooner
Bozak
Last 8: Spooner 2-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Spooner
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spooner
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Spooner
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spooner
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (683)
56.4% (837)
-13.5%
Power Play
44.4% (18)
60.8% (186)
-16.4%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (10)
33.3% (36)
-3.3%
On power play, Bozak has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Spooner is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Spooner shoots left. Bozak is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Spooner
Bozak
Home
42.4% (349)
58.7% (516)
Away
43.1% (362)
54.1% (543)
By Period
Spooner
Bozak
P1
44.7%
55.7%
P2
45.8%
53.4%
P3
37.4%
59.7%
OT
33.3%
63.2%
Final 5 min
41.0%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spooner
50.0%▲
44.0%
42.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 19:13 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 12:50 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 04:55 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 15:55 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 11:53 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 04:33 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 16:30 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 07:44 | Defensive | Ryan Spooner |