Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Spooner wins 41.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spooner 43.6% vs Johnson 49.7% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 15-15 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Spooner 66.9%
Defensive zone
Johnson 63.8%
Neutral zone
Johnson 50.5%
Result
Ryan Spooner favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Spooner
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
15
(30 meetings)
15
15
Spooner
Johnson
Last 10: Spooner 4-6 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Spooner
Johnson
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
3
4
Spooner
Johnson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spooner
7
6
Spooner
Johnson
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spooner
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (1,540)
49.8% (5,396)
-6.7%
Power Play
46.3% (67)
54.6% (885)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
42.3% (707)
-0.2%
On power play, Johnson has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Spooner is 41.8% vs right-shot opponents (612).
Spooner shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Spooner
Johnson
Home
43.9% (779)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
42.6% (847)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Spooner
Johnson
P1
45.0%
50.1%
P2
46.2%
50.6%
P3
38.2%
48.4%
OT
35.0%
42.5%
Final 5 min
44.7%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spooner
50.0%▲
44.0%
43.2%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 03:27 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 2 | 13:48 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 2 | 12:21 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 1 | 17:13 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 11:27 | Defensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 05:09 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 01:41 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 04:50 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 04:46 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 02:57 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 3 | 16:02 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 3 | 05:44 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 3 | 05:31 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 2 | 15:27 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 2 | 08:36 | Defensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 2 | 08:31 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 1 | 19:16 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 1 | 07:29 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |