Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Spooner on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Spooner wins 41.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spooner 43.6% vs Johnson 48.7% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Spooner leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 67.2%
Defensive zone
Johnson 59.6%
Neutral zone
Johnson 58.2%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Spooner
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Spooner
Johnson
Last 10: Spooner 4-6 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Spooner
Johnson
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Spooner
Johnson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spooner
3
1
Spooner
Johnson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spooner
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (683)
48.5% (776)
-5.6%
Power Play
44.4% (18)
56.7% (157)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (10)
26.4% (53)
+3.6%
On power play, Johnson has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Spooner is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Spooner shoots left. Johnson is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (648).
Home / Away
Spooner
Johnson
Home
42.4% (349)
48.8% (482)
Away
43.1% (362)
48.4% (504)
By Period
Spooner
Johnson
P1
44.7%
50.3%
P2
45.8%
48.5%
P3
37.4%
47.0%
OT
33.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
41.0%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spooner
50.0%▲
44.0%
42.8%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2016 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 3 | 16:02 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 3 | 05:44 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 3 | 05:31 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 2 | 15:27 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 2 | 08:36 | Defensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 2 | 08:31 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 1 | 19:16 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 1 | 07:29 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 1 | 04:45 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 1 | 04:25 | Defensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 3 | 10:39 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 2 | 10:04 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 2 | 08:18 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 1 | 02:52 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |