Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Lizotte wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.1% vs Strome 47.7% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 55.3%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 64.4%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 68.5%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Lizotte
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Lizotte
Strome
Last 8: Lizotte 5-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
4
3
Lizotte
Strome
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (549)
47.8% (813)
+2.5%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
56.4% (133)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (50)
32.7% (98)
+11.3%
On penalty kill, Lizotte has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Lizotte is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Lizotte shoots left. Strome is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Strome
Home
48.5% (336)
47.5% (535)
Away
52.1% (286)
47.5% (509)
By Period
Lizotte
Strome
P1
48.2%
46.4%
P2
54.1%
48.3%
P3
47.1%
47.9%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.2%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2020 | 2 | 10:35 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 9, 2020 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 9, 2020 | 2 | 01:20 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 15:41 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 04:30 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 05:03 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 01:14 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 16:47 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |