Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lizotte wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Strome 44.4% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 67.5%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 83.9%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 78.3%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
Lizotte
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Lizotte
Strome
Last 7: Lizotte 5-2 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
1
Lizotte
Strome
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
43.0% (788)
+9.5%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
47.9% (96)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
50.0% (34)
-8.6%
On even strength, Lizotte has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Lizotte is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lizotte shoots left. Strome is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Strome
Home
51.4% (383)
42.6% (486)
Away
50.9% (424)
45.1% (432)
By Period
Lizotte
Strome
P1
48.8%
41.0%
P2
51.0%
47.8%
P3
53.5%
42.1%
Final 5 min
48.3%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 10:15 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 05:06 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 01:33 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 19:55 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 07:39 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 3 | 13:25 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 13:03 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |